Polymarket wallet 0x1a8e…4691

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x1a8e…4691 has made 194 trades on Polymarket across 96 markets, $207 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (12%) and economics (9%). On 92 resolved markets the win rate is 55.4%, lifetime P&L +$6. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16?No · $1 · 54¢ → 59¢
• Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $58 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · $0 · 37¢ → 4¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?No · -$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?No · -$1 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.70?No · +$0 · Oct 15, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 15, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 14?No · +$2 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $930 Week of October 12 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 14, 2026
• Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 13?Yes · -$1 · Oct 14, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.