Codename47 · Polymarket wallet 0x199f…44f8

+$16 lifetime P&L · 55.1% win rate · 78 resolved markets · 0x199fe584e010b778b7b7c5c6c3c32c99fd8544f8

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Wallet snapshot

Codename47 has made 173 trades on Polymarket across 79 markets, $1,011 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (67%) and sports (8%). On 78 resolved markets the win rate is 55.1%, lifetime P&L +$16. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Aug 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes · $3 · 64¢ → 7¢

Latest closed positions

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?No · +$3 · Jul 1, 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes · -$5 · Jul 1, 2026
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No · +$2 · Jun 27, 2026
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No · +$1 · Jun 23, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes · +$17 · Apr 13, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes · +$26 · Apr 13, 2026
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes · +$9 · Mar 4, 2026
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?No · +$8 · Mar 1, 2026
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes · +$8 · Feb 28, 2026
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Feb 28, 2026

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