chngmnt · Polymarket wallet 0x18d3…173e

Wallet snapshot

chngmnt has made 153 trades on Polymarket across 124 markets, $1,351 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (29%) and politics (22%). On 122 resolved markets the win rate is 82.8%, lifetime P&L +$580. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?". Last trade: May 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No · $38 · 93¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No · +$0 · May 10, 2026
• US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?No · +$0 · Apr 20, 2026
• Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No · +$0 · Apr 20, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No · +$0 · Mar 25, 2026
• Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?No · +$2 · Feb 19, 2026
• Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?Yes · +$1 · Feb 19, 2026
• Rockets vs. PistonsYes · +$580 · Feb 4, 2026
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No · +$18 · Feb 4, 2026
• Will Tesla reach $533 in December?No · +$0 · Jan 22, 2026
• Julie Masino out as Cracker Barrel CEO in 2025? No · +$0 · Jan 22, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.