Polymarket wallet 0x1798…8a27

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x1798…8a27 has made 143 trades on Polymarket across 82 markets, $198 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (16%) and economics (13%). On 72 resolved markets the win rate is 56.9%, lifetime P&L -$2. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?Yes · $1 · 32¢ → 44¢
• Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?No · $1 · 67¢ → 70¢
• Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?No · $1 · 76¢ → 79¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?Yes · $1 · 28¢ → 19¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?No · -$1 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of October 5 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?Yes · +$0 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?Yes · +$4 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 6, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes · -$2 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September?No · -$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 29, 2026

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