wakeupsawly · Polymarket wallet 0x1577…4b52

Wallet snapshot

wakeupsawly has made 114 trades on Polymarket across 18 markets, $8,730 in volume. Most of it is in tech (83%) and geopolitics (11%). On 17 resolved markets the win rate is 70.6%, lifetime P&L +$1,032. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes · $93 · 23¢ → 9¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes · -$6 · Sep 13, 2026
• Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes · +$681 · Sep 4, 2026
• AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes · +$98 · Sep 2, 2026
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes · -$6 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No · +$1 · Jun 29, 2026
• Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes · +$10 · Jun 13, 2026
• Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes · +$35 · Jun 12, 2026
• Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes · +$61 · Jun 9, 2026
• Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes · +$129 · Jun 5, 2026
• GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Yes · +$12 · Apr 24, 2026

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