tristanb · Polymarket wallet 0x14fb…4023

Wallet snapshot

tristanb has made 170 trades on Polymarket across 94 markets, $650 in volume. Most of it is in politics (25%) and geopolitics (13%). On 88 resolved markets the win rate is 67%, lifetime P&L +$21. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?". Last trade: Oct 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No · $54 · 91¢ → 98¢
• Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No · $16 · 30¢ → 96¢
• Will National Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No · $12 · 93¢ → 100¢
• NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)No · $10 · 64¢ → 47¢
• Will Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?No · $5 · 42¢ → 43¢
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No · $4 · 89¢ → 28¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?No · +$3 · Aug 1, 2026
• Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?No · +$0 · Jul 4, 2026
• Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No · +$10 · Jul 2, 2026
• Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No · +$0 · Jun 6, 2026
• GTA VI released before June 2026?Yes · -$6 · Jun 1, 2026
• Will the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the April decision?Yes · +$1 · May 9, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.