ben1563 · Polymarket wallet 0x1242…90e6

Wallet snapshot

ben1563 has made 225 trades on Polymarket across 60 markets, $16K in volume. Most of it is in politics (27%) and geopolitics (25%). On 58 resolved markets the win rate is 81%. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?". Last trade: Mar 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes · $51 · 16¢ → 5¢

Latest closed positions

• Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?No · -$34 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No · +$19 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?Yes · -$15 · Apr 7, 2026
• Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No · +$16 · Apr 1, 2026
• Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes · -$8 · Feb 23, 2026
• GPT ads by March 31?Yes · +$13 · Feb 13, 2026
• China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes · -$31 · Feb 9, 2026
• Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?No · +$26 · Feb 5, 2026
• US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes · -$20 · Feb 1, 2026
• Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes · +$19 · Jan 19, 2026

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