Apolinariia · Polymarket wallet 0x0638…a2e4

Wallet snapshot

Apolinariia has made 166 trades on Polymarket across 125 markets, $17K in volume. Most of it is in sports (41%) and geopolitics (19%). On 117 resolved markets the win rate is 70.9%, lifetime P&L +$871. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No · $6 · 78¢ → 90¢
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No · $2 · 87¢ → 94¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes · $2 · 87¢ → 98¢
• China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $2 · 82¢ → 93¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $2 · 87¢ → 98¢
• Will Iran target Bahrain by October 31, 2026?No · $2 · 91¢ → 69¢

Latest closed positions

• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 6, 2026
• DAX (DAX) Up or Down on September 21?Yes · +$0 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will Iran target Bahrain by September 15, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 19, 2026
• Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?No · -$1 · Sep 11, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?No · +$1 · Aug 19, 2026
• Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Aug 17, 2026
• Evo Morales arrested by July 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.