Idioticchoices · Polymarket wallet 0x0496…a824

Wallet snapshot

Idioticchoices has made 151 trades on Polymarket across 53 markets, $531 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (98%). On 46 resolved markets the win rate is 56.5%, lifetime P&L -$11. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?". Last trade: Nov 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No · $10 · 97¢ → 98¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?Yes · $10 · 4¢ → 4¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes · $9 · 37¢ → 30¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?No · $5 · 1¢ → 1¢
• Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes · $1 · 3¢ → 3¢
• Will Trump resign before 2027?Yes · $1 · 2¢ → 2¢
• Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes · $1 · 6¢ → 5¢

Latest closed positions

• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7PM ETYes · +$10 · Nov 6, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7PM ETNo · -$4 · Nov 6, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETYes · +$5 · Nov 6, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETNo · -$4 · Nov 6, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETYes · +$18 · Nov 6, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETYes · +$9 · Nov 6, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETYes · +$6 · Nov 6, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.