arealnicename · Polymarket wallet 0x0317…a837

Wallet snapshot

arealnicename has made 125 trades on Polymarket across 52 markets, $1,468 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (46%) and crypto (22%). On 47 resolved markets the win rate is 78.7%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Sep 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No · $9 · 87¢ → 90¢
• China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $5 · 94¢ → 93¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 4?No · +$2 · Sep 4, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 4?Yes · -$3 · Sep 4, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes · +$0 · Sep 4, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 2?Yes · +$0 · Sep 2, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No · -$0 · Sep 2, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No · +$0 · Apr 25, 2026
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No · -$2 · Apr 25, 2026
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?No · +$0 · Apr 24, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No · +$5 · Apr 22, 2026
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?No · +$0 · Apr 22, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.