ProbabilityAssessment · Polymarket wallet 0x028b…99a6

Wallet snapshot

On 63 resolved markets the win rate is 60.3%. It holds no open positions right now.

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Jan 6, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?Yes · +$46 · Jan 6, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes · +$4 · Jan 6, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Jan 5, 2026
• Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No · +$17 · Jan 3, 2026
• Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes · +$9 · Jan 3, 2026
• Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes · +$5 · Jan 3, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Jan 3, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?No · +$2 · Jan 3, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?No · -$3 · Jan 2, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.