TMWSTWCapital · Polymarket wallet 0x011a…ca8e

Wallet snapshot

TMWSTWCapital has made 879 trades on Polymarket across 41 markets, $107K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (49%) and politics (29%). On 34 resolved markets the win rate is 64.7%, lifetime P&L +$3,129. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?". Last trade: Feb 28, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?No · $5,643 · 85¢ → 97¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?Yes · $178 · 13¢ → 3¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No · $3 · 59¢ → 95¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes · $0 · 34¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes · -$662 · May 8, 2026
• Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes · -$49 · Mar 4, 2026
• Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No · +$0 · Mar 4, 2026
• Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?No · +$0 · Mar 4, 2026
• Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes · -$50 · Mar 4, 2026
• Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes · -$5 · Mar 4, 2026
• Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes · -$34 · Mar 4, 2026
• Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes · +$0 · Mar 4, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes · +$195 · Mar 1, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes · +$3,268 · Mar 1, 2026

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