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Economics94 days left

Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
22¢
22% implied
NO Price
78¢
78% implied
Volume
$21.2K
937 trades
Smart Whales
29
of 251 traders

2026 World GDP Growth

9 MARKETS · $76.2K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

10 YESvs19 NO
35%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 48% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 71%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$586+8 new NO$388
$510 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $541 is directional: YES $260·NO $280
YES Team
Total Invested
$341
Avg Win Rate
65.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$33(-9.8%)
Whales
10
R
RememberAmalekProven🥇
Entry 20¢·1,000 shares
+$23INV $201 · WR 64.4%
D
DerDonProven🥈
Entry 23¢·212 shares
$-1INV $48 · WR 56.5%
A
Aggggaa12🥉hedged
Entry 66¢·57 shares·also $40 on NO
$-25INV $38 · WR 72.5%
E
Extra-Large-Fallacy
Entry 50¢·46.4 shares
$-13INV $23 · WR 70.7%
Y
Yellowish-Soil
Entry 77¢·20 shares
$-11INV $15 · WR 84.0%
O
oplix
Entry 32¢·19.3 shares
$-3INV $6 · WR 61.8%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 43¢·10 shares
$-2INV $4 · WR 59.8%
M
MrAndMsClaude
Entry 43¢·10 shares
$-2INV $4 · WR 61.7%
T
trx1
Entry 20¢·2.9 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 64.7%
R
romanew-1-new
Entry 33¢·0.6 shares
$-0INV $0 · WR 65.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 35% YES: world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026