4 days left
Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?
YES Price
32¢
32% implied
NO Price
68¢
68% implied
Volume
$2.3K
47 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 35 traders · 1 on both sides
What will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference?
20 MARKETS · $5.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference
46¢+34¢$7564/1Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference+34¢46¢
$7564/1
Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during October Press Conference
73¢—$500/0Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during October Press Conference—73¢
$500/0
Will Warsh say "Conflict" or "Middle East" during October Press Conference
64¢−39¢$5201/3Will Warsh say "Conflict" or "Middle East" during October Press Conference−39¢64¢
$5201/3
Will Warsh say "Gold" or "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during October Press Conference
12¢—$00/0Will Warsh say "Gold" or "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during October Press Conference—12¢
$00/0
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during October Press Conference
6¢+44¢$551/1Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during October Press Conference+44¢6¢
$551/1
Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference
93¢−43¢$271/1Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference−43¢93¢
$271/1
Will Warsh say "Good Question" during October Press Conference
84¢−84¢$1250/2Will Warsh say "Good Question" during October Press Conference−84¢84¢
$1250/2
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during October Press Conference
47¢−47¢$410/2Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during October Press Conference−47¢47¢
$410/2
Will Warsh say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during October Press Conference
75¢−42¢$901/2Will Warsh say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during October Press Conference−42¢75¢
$901/2
Will Warsh say "Oversight" during October Press Conference
29¢—$230/0Will Warsh say "Oversight" during October Press Conference—29¢
$230/0
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" or "Recession" during October Press Conference
28¢−28¢$650/1Will Warsh say "Pandemic" or "Recession" during October Press Conference−28¢28¢
$650/1
Will Warsh say "Payroll" during October Press Conference
38¢+12¢$4452/2Will Warsh say "Payroll" during October Press Conference+12¢38¢
$4452/2
Will Warsh say "President" or "Trump" during October Press Conference
72¢+28¢$1002/0Will Warsh say "President" or "Trump" during October Press Conference+28¢72¢
$1002/0
Will Warsh say "Pressure" or "Stagflation" during October Press Conference
69¢—$50/0Will Warsh say "Pressure" or "Stagflation" during October Press Conference—69¢
$50/0
Will Warsh say "Price" 30+ times during October Press Conference
71¢+4¢$1123/1Will Warsh say "Price" 30+ times during October Press Conference+4¢71¢
$1123/1
Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference←
32¢+26¢$2.3K7/5Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference←+26¢32¢
$2.3K7/5
Will Warsh say "Soft" or "Softening" during October Press Conference
28¢—$00/0Will Warsh say "Soft" or "Softening" during October Press Conference—28¢
$00/0
Will Warsh say "Software" during October Press Conference
16¢—$00/0Will Warsh say "Software" during October Press Conference—16¢
$00/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs5 NO
55%46%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 35% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 57%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$259+3 new NO$204
$61 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $510 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $179·NO $327YES Team
Total Invested
$254
Avg Win Rate
71.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$7(+2.8%)
Whales
6
O
Olcan🥇
Entry 38¢·439.5 shares
Invested
$166
Win Rate
76.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $166 · WR 76.5%
J
jesuslovesy0u🥈
Entry 34¢·200 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $68 · WR 61.1%
F
Faston🥉
Entry 21¢·50 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $10 · WR 56.2%
F
frplayers
Entry 35¢·16 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 70.8%
C
cloverpmq2
Entry 43¢·6.4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 60.4%
B
badatthishedged
Entry 32¢·5.1 shares·also $86 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 63.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$402
Avg Win Rate
67.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$28(+6.9%)
Whales
5
B
BlondBeast◆Proven🥇
Entry 55¢·250 shares
Invested
$139
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $139 · WR 73.2%
C
Cattail◆Proven🥈
Entry 67¢·147 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $99 · WR 63.3%
B
badatthis🥉hedged
Entry 57¢·150 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$86
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $86 · WR 63.8%
C
clazzy1
Entry 53¢·136.1 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $73 · WR 64.6%
M
mannyp
Entry 66¢·9.1 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 62.8%
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