Economics108 days left

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

51¢

51% implied

NO Price

49¢

49% implied

Volume

$20.7K

1,165 trades

Smart Whales

53

of 290 traders · 1 on both sides

GDP growth in 2026

13 MARKETS · $141.9K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%

1¢+20¢$1.6K3/11

Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%+20¢1¢

Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%

2¢+15¢$1.2K2/10

Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%+15¢2¢

Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%

3¢+14¢$1.1K2/10

Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%+14¢3¢

Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%

1¢+22¢$1.1K3/10

Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%+22¢1¢

Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%

10¢+7¢$3.7K3/15

Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%+7¢10¢

Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%

16¢+9¢$4.9K4/12

Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%+9¢16¢

Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%

68¢−31¢$39.9K16/27

Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%−31¢68¢

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%

0¢+14¢$8.9K6/38

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%+14¢0¢

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%

0¢+10¢$18.4K4/35

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%+10¢0¢

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%

0¢+20¢$5.5K8/33

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%+20¢0¢

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%

2¢+9¢$9.7K5/40

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%+9¢2¢

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%←

51¢−34¢$20.7K9/45

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%←−34¢51¢

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%

49¢−29¢$25.2K11/44

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%−29¢49¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

9 YESvs45 NO

17%83%

83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 93% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 30% of the money is not a bet

$102 of $339 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $220·NO $17

YES Team

Total Invested

$953

Avg Win Rate

71.0%

Aggregate P&L

-$91(-9.6%)

Whales

9

KiernanMeisterProven🥇

Entry 50¢·850.9 shares

+$4INV $425 · WR 63.4%

Subdued-Pasta🥈hedged

Entry 105¢·207.8 shares·also $153 on NO

$-113INV $218 · WR 85.5%

Musk5🥉hedged

Entry 56¢·379.5 shares·also $51 on NO

$-19INV $211 · WR 71.9%

Entry 37¢·130 shares

+$18INV $48 · WR 66.8%

Entry 57¢·50 shares

$-3INV $29 · WR 78.9%

VKCz4DXpxMzc85GXxekG

Entry 12¢·59 shares

+$23INV $7 · WR 55.7%

Entry 51¢·10 shares

$-0INV $5 · WR 56.3%

Showing top 7 of 9

NO Team

Total Invested

$1.2K

Avg Win Rate

83.3%

Aggregate P&L

+$23(+1.9%)

Whales

45

Subdued-Pasta🥇hedged

Entry 74¢·207.8 shares·also $218 on YES

$-50INV $153 · WR 85.5%

GingerMcKenna🥈

Entry 57¢·238.3 shares

$-19INV $137 · WR 84.9%

northdrawer🥉

Entry 80¢·131 shares

$-40INV $105 · WR 87.7%

Entry 58¢·170 shares

$-15INV $99 · WR 72.2%

Entry 81¢·95 shares

$-30INV $77 · WR 88.7%

Entry 29¢·245.9 shares

+$51INV $70 · WR 85.8%

Entry 51¢·100 shares·also $211 on YES

$-2INV $51 · WR 71.9%

Entry 45¢·110 shares

+$5INV $50 · WR 89.3%

Entry 57¢·87 shares

$-7INV $50 · WR 85.2%

Entry 89¢·50.4 shares

$-20INV $45 · WR 88.1%

Showing top 10 of 45

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 817ms