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Economics29 days left

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
73¢
73% implied
NO Price
27¢
27% implied
Volume
$14.0K
302 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 105 traders

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

5 MARKETS · $22.3K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

8 YESvs6 NO
57%43%
57% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 64%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$2.2K+19 new NO$1.2K
$18 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $7.1K is directional: YES $6.8K·NO $274
YES Team
Total Invested
$6.8K
Avg Win Rate
60.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.9K(+27.1%)
Whales
8
W
willsom🥇
Entry 67¢·5,013.2 shares
+$871INV $3.4K · WR 61.3%
T
theta-thunberg🥈
Entry 66¢·3,535.4 shares
+$660INV $2.3K · WR 56.4%
R
Roro22Proven🥉
Entry 67¢·964.3 shares
+$171INV $644 · WR 74.9%
6
6idontknow123451334
Entry 66¢·400 shares
+$74INV $264 · WR 62.5%
S
Started-with-20-USDProven
Entry 61¢·298.6 shares
+$69INV $183 · WR 59.0%
M
Michael-The-Taxiarch
Entry 60¢·32.2 shares
+$8INV $19 · WR 67.4%
H
Hazel1122
Entry 89¢·20 shares
$-3INV $18 · WR 55.8%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 82¢·20 shares
+$1INV $16 · WR 69.8%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 71% YES: US crude oil reserves fall to 280M…