Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$11.1K
465 trades
Smart Whales
40
of 125 traders · 2 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs30 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 72% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$35 of $600 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $405·NO $159YES Team
Total Invested
$507
Avg Win Rate
70.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$422(-83.3%)
Whales
12
C
Comfortable-Sandwich🥇hedged
Entry 17¢·830 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$138
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-138
$-138INV $138 · WR 59.4%
M
merod🥈
Entry 17¢·739.3 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-123
$-123INV $123 · WR 84.1%
B
Bobic🥉
Entry 44¢·173.5 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-76
$-76INV $77 · WR 56.9%
L
luciebot
Entry 17¢·140.6 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $23 · WR 83.5%
S
spyisgodhedged
Entry 57¢·40 shares·also $17 on NO
Invested
$23
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $23 · WR 86.8%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 17¢·94.7 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 86.6%
S
shred7777
Entry 53¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
89.7%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 89.7%
R
Romiche22◆Proven
Entry 21¢·40 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 56.8%
B
Brave-Timbale-Witch
Entry 17¢·20 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 61.6%
P
prognozu
Entry 11¢·3.4 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 85.4%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.9K
Avg Win Rate
76.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.8K(+97.5%)
Whales
30
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 46¢·2,693.7 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1451
+$1451INV $1.2K · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 50¢·1,160.2 shares
Invested
$580
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$580
+$580INV $580 · WR 87.7%
Z
zubizubizu🥉
Entry 50¢·1,007.3 shares
Invested
$504
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$504
+$504INV $504 · WR 84.0%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 51¢·689.8 shares
Invested
$351
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$339
+$339INV $351 · WR 56.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·647.6 shares
Invested
$324
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$324
+$324INV $324 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 51¢·571.2 shares
Invested
$289
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$282
+$282INV $289 · WR 72.1%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 44¢·612.3 shares
Invested
$267
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$345
+$345INV $267 · WR 55.2%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 50¢·397.2 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$197
+$197INV $200 · WR 59.9%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 51¢·370.5 shares
Invested
$188
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$182
+$182INV $188 · WR 59.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 53¢·330.3 shares
Invested
$176
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$154
+$154INV $176 · WR 79.6%
Showing top 10 of 30
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