GeopoliticsResolved

Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?

YES Price
11¢
11% implied
NO Price
89¢
89% implied
Volume
$22.1K
120 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 70 traders

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs5 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 75%· net of hedges
+33 new YES$663+33 new NO$1.3K
$707 of this was bought on both sides by the same 17 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $79 is directional: YES $3·NO $76

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 17% YES: Ukraine target Moscow on October 21…