PoliticsResolved
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$65.5K
1,906 trades
Smart Whales
79
of 363 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs66 NO
18%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 28% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$42 of $979 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $258·NO $679YES Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
60.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.2K(-98.8%)
Whales
14
F
FrozenParasite🥇
Entry 47¢·1,279.4 shares
Invested
$595
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-595
$-595INV $595 · WR 56.4%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor🥈
Entry 38¢·500 shares
Invested
$190
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-190
$-190INV $190 · WR 70.5%
S
Spectrum◆Proven🥉
Entry 43¢·400 shares
Invested
$172
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-170
$-170INV $172 · WR 60.9%
G
Gluedhedged
Entry 79¢·193 shares·also $28 on NO
Invested
$153
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-153
$-153INV $153 · WR 56.2%
J
jennylulu2016
Entry 50¢·62 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $31 · WR 89.1%
U
ultraplayz
Entry 29¢·101 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $29 · WR 71.3%
I
i2dthedged
Entry 42¢·50 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$21
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $21 · WR 70.2%
R
reid99
Entry 9¢·225 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $20 · WR 55.4%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 48¢·11.9 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 68.2%
K
klp82
Entry 61¢·1.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 77.1%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$9.5K
Avg Win Rate
78.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.0K(+62.9%)
Whales
66
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 77¢·2,216 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$514
+$514INV $1.7K · WR 85.9%
9
0x93a93d84...🥈
Entry 49¢·2,105 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$1079
+$1079INV $1.0K · WR 59.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 58¢·1,518.9 shares
Invested
$878
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$641
+$641INV $878 · WR 72.2%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 65¢·855.1 shares
Invested
$559
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$297
+$297INV $559 · WR 85.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 47¢·1,174.1 shares
Invested
$550
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$624
+$624INV $550 · WR 79.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 59¢·926.2 shares
Invested
$545
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$381
+$381INV $545 · WR 87.7%
K
korda77
Entry 55¢·708.4 shares
Invested
$389
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$319
+$319INV $389 · WR 85.2%
J
James-Talarico
Entry 94¢·387 shares
Invested
$364
Win Rate
81.9%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $364 · WR 81.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 56¢·558.2 shares
Invested
$314
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$245
+$245INV $314 · WR 86.0%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 64¢·460.6 shares
Invested
$293
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$168
+$168INV $293 · WR 88.2%
Showing top 10 of 66
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