Resolved
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$1.3K
84 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 45 traders
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs15 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $254 is directional: YES $1·NO $253YES Team
Total Invested
$2
Avg Win Rate
76.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-44.2%)
Whales
7
I
itsjustcheddar🥇
Entry 0¢·253.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 80.8%
C
Classic-Loggia🥈
Entry 1¢·10.3 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 59.6%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever🥉
Entry 1¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 59.6%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 1¢·9.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 59.8%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ashhedged
Entry 1¢·4.2 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 59.7%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoathedged
Entry 2¢·1.1 shares·also $9 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 59.8%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 1¢·0.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
—
—INV $0 · WR 59.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$518
Avg Win Rate
81.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$282(+54.5%)
Whales
15
P
plainfolder🥇
Entry 50¢·290 shares
Invested
$145
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$145
+$145INV $145 · WR 86.0%
R
raprapxiha🥈
Entry 99¢·125.4 shares
Invested
$124
Win Rate
78.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $124 · WR 78.4%
L
lionone1🥉
Entry 99¢·65.2 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
93.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $65 · WR 93.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·120 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $60 · WR 79.6%
S
smi1e
Entry 99¢·33 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $33 · WR 85.6%
K
KiruaTrading
Entry 95¢·24 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $23 · WR 61.5%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 50¢·32.5 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $16 · WR 59.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·32.2 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $16 · WR 85.9%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoathedged
Entry 99¢·9.1 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$9
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 59.8%
M
mentionsone
Entry 99¢·9.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
91.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 91.0%
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