Resolved
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$6.9K
285 trades
Smart Whales
31
of 82 traders
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs16 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $98 is directional: YES $98·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$818
Avg Win Rate
66.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$789(-96.5%)
Whales
15
S
StraddleSeller🥇
Entry 58¢·786.3 shares
Invested
$455
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-455
$-455INV $455 · WR 66.2%
S
Slimy-Dawn🥈hedged
Entry 33¢·314.6 shares·also $266 on NO
Invested
$104
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-104
$-104INV $104 · WR 61.1%
F
Freedom88🥉
Entry 49¢·125.9 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
74.5%
Position P&L
$-61
$-61INV $61 · WR 74.5%
R
Raskell
Entry 57¢·95 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $54 · WR 62.8%
I
Irritating-Hierarchy
Entry 39¢·90 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $35 · WR 82.7%
J
joe48691hedged
Entry 83¢·29.4 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$24
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $24 · WR 67.5%
D
Dow-Jones
Entry 26¢·73.2 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $19 · WR 59.4%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 37¢·24 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 59.8%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 38¢·23.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 59.7%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 47¢·18.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 59.6%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
68.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$287(+24.6%)
Whales
16
K
KiruaTrading🥇
Entry 127¢·327.5 shares
Invested
$414
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-87
$-87INV $414 · WR 61.5%
S
Slimy-Dawn🥈hedged
Entry 64¢·415.4 shares·also $104 on YES
Invested
$266
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$150
+$150INV $266 · WR 61.1%
C
calvinhobbes123◆Proven🥉
Entry 99¢·200 shares
Invested
$198
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $198 · WR 85.0%
J
JesseLivermore99
Entry 66¢·149.8 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
71.5%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $98 · WR 71.5%
R
rrr222
Entry 51¢·100 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $51 · WR 55.8%
F
Flimsy-Handle
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $40 · WR 83.9%
T
Tee1000
Entry 53¢·60 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $32 · WR 81.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $25 · WR 79.6%
J
joe48691hedged
Entry 35¢·29.4 shares·also $24 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $10 · WR 67.5%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 51¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 85.9%
Showing top 10 of 16
Smart Whale Trades
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