GeopoliticsResolved
Will there be between 28 and 30 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$3.7K
165 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 68 traders
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs10 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $93 is directional: YES $93·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$411
Avg Win Rate
85.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$481(+117.0%)
Whales
5
F
fillit98🥇hedged
Entry 61¢·300 shares·also $600 on NO
Invested
$183
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$117
+$117INV $183 · WR 89.3%
H
hymolu🥈
Entry 33¢·407.4 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
+$273
+$273INV $135 · WR 76.7%
H
HarpoonSignals🥉
Entry 98¢·87.5 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
93.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $86 · WR 93.8%
T
TheOne777◆Proven
Entry 6¢·85 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$76
+$76INV $5 · WR 75.7%
I
itsjustcheddar
Entry 10¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $2 · WR 80.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$884
Avg Win Rate
87.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$884(-100.0%)
Whales
10
F
fillit98🥇hedged
Entry 200¢·300 shares·also $183 on YES
Invested
$600
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-600
$-600INV $600 · WR 89.3%
S
Subdued-Pasta◆Proven🥈
Entry 87¢·195 shares
Invested
$169
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
$-169
$-169INV $169 · WR 85.5%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 17¢·156.1 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $27 · WR 86.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 82¢·30 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 66.8%
N
northdrawer
Entry 93¢·23 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $21 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 12¢·130 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 85.9%
N
nonono001
Entry 80¢·16 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $13 · WR 80.8%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 65¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 79.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 92¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 79.6%
5
0x52be1271...
Entry 132¢·2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 80.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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