GeopoliticsResolved
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$61.2K
1,167 trades
Smart Whales
56
of 239 traders
Smart Money Consensus
27 YESvs29 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 35% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $82 is directional: YES $29·NO $53YES Team
Total Invested
$9.9K
Avg Win Rate
63.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$9.3K(+94.3%)
Whales
27
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 67¢·3,797.4 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$1246
+$1246INV $2.5K · WR 57.7%
C
cookedquail🥈
Entry 153¢·1,525.9 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-813
$-813INV $2.3K · WR 59.3%
R
rabbit007◆Proven🥉
Entry 72¢·1,638.1 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$459
+$459INV $1.2K · WR 61.2%
M
Mataty1
Entry 13¢·7,861.8 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$6770
+$6770INV $1.1K · WR 72.2%
P
polpolmeow
Entry 97¢·647.4 shares
Invested
$629
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $629 · WR 88.0%
J
Jydyjydhedged
Entry 62¢·577.8 shares·also $164 on NO
Invested
$357
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$218
+$218INV $357 · WR 60.3%
S
SusanWarrenHR◆Proven
Entry 68¢·439.8 shares
Invested
$297
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$141
+$141INV $297 · WR 67.5%
R
Relaccsed
Entry 54¢·543.8 shares
Invested
$293
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$248
+$248INV $293 · WR 56.7%
B
BAO95889hedged
Entry 51¢·347.2 shares·also $390 on NO
Invested
$176
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$170
+$170INV $176 · WR 57.2%
K
kanhaoleaha
Entry 50¢·256.9 shares
Invested
$128
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$128
+$128INV $128 · WR 73.2%
Showing top 10 of 27
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.0K
Avg Win Rate
76.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.0K(-67.7%)
Whales
29
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 35¢·2,153.1 shares
Invested
$757
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-748
$-748INV $757 · WR 87.7%
B
BAO95889🥈hedged
Entry 91¢·427.2 shares·also $176 on YES
Invested
$390
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-388
$-388INV $390 · WR 57.2%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 49¢·421.7 shares
Invested
$206
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-204
$-204INV $206 · WR 86.0%
J
Jydyjydhedged
Entry 43¢·380.5 shares·also $357 on YES
Invested
$164
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-162
$-162INV $164 · WR 60.3%
R
runechiters
Entry 57¢·200 shares
Invested
$114
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-113
$-113INV $114 · WR 61.5%
B
beatrix99
Entry 27¢·351.5 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-93
$-93INV $94 · WR 81.8%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 22¢·335.7 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-74
$-74INV $75 · WR 88.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 36¢·165 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $60 · WR 89.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 24¢·250 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $59 · WR 72.2%
G
groth◆Proven
Entry 3¢·1,641.5 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $53 · WR 65.0%
Showing top 10 of 29
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