Politics111 days left
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
YES Price
91¢
91% implied
NO Price
9¢
9% implied
Volume
$65.2K
1,930 trades
Smart Whales
83
of 471 traders · 1 on both sides
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
2 MARKETS · $141.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
29 YESvs55 NO
35%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+2 new YES$6+0 new NO$0
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$62 of $5.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $5.3K·NO $124YES Team
Total Invested
$6.6K
Avg Win Rate
62.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.9K(+43.1%)
Whales
29
S
ScottyNooo🥇
Entry 79¢·3,774.5 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$425
+$425INV $3.0K · WR 56.0%
B
Breezy-Entrance🥈
Entry 56¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$704
+$704INV $1.1K · WR 76.8%
J
J-E-R🥉hedged
Entry 47¢·1,837.9 shares·also $1.4K on NO
Invested
$856
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$812
+$812INV $856 · WR 58.8%
B
BetterFish◆Proven
Entry 76¢·745.2 shares
Invested
$565
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$111
+$111INV $565 · WR 70.2%
Z
Zarshkahedged
Entry 41¢·933.7 shares·also $31 on NO
Invested
$384
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$462
+$462INV $384 · WR 62.3%
B
Bikesarethebesthedged
Entry 87¢·141 shares·also $12 on NO
Invested
$122
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $122 · WR 56.3%
L
LR1hedged
Entry 40¢·300 shares·also $154 on NO
Invested
$119
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$153
+$153INV $119 · WR 62.8%
G
gopfan2◆Proven
Entry 45¢·220.5 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$102
+$102INV $99 · WR 60.2%
U
unrealizedgainstax0r
Entry 82¢·108.8 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $90 · WR 72.7%
W
WeJustBettin
Entry 84¢·83.2 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $70 · WR 86.9%
Showing top 10 of 29
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.2K
Avg Win Rate
70.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.2K(-69.0%)
Whales
55
J
J-E-R🥇hedged
Entry 53¢·2,732.9 shares·also $856 on YES
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-1186
$-1186INV $1.4K · WR 58.8%
I
influenz.eth🥈
Entry 29¢·1,315.5 shares
Invested
$385
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-264
$-264INV $385 · WR 85.8%
H
Hjklm🥉hedged
Entry 43¢·626.8 shares·also $51 on YES
Invested
$267
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-209
$-209INV $267 · WR 87.7%
L
LR1hedged
Entry 51¢·300 shares·also $119 on YES
Invested
$154
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-126
$-126INV $154 · WR 62.8%
N
NoMoreMister
Entry 63¢·157.3 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
88.4%
Position P&L
$-84
$-84INV $99 · WR 88.4%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 32¢·293.7 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-66
$-66INV $93 · WR 87.6%
8
88mnm88
Entry 34¢·150 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $51 · WR 77.1%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 38¢·129.6 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $49 · WR 83.8%
E
eto1lol
Entry 61¢·74.2 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $45 · WR 85.4%
S
shine
Entry 75¢·60 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $45 · WR 89.3%
Showing top 10 of 55
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