261 days left
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?
YES Price
29¢
29% implied
NO Price
71¢
71% implied
Volume
$2.7K
109 trades
Smart Whales
3
of 56 traders
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs2 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$19+4 new NO$122
$11 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $160 is directional: YES $12·NO $148YES Team
Total Invested
$12
Avg Win Rate
69.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$3(+27.7%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$148
Avg Win Rate
61.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$12(+8.0%)
Whales
2
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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