18 days left
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?
YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$50.3K
1,347 trades
Smart Whales
56
of 229 traders
When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?
2 MARKETS · $89.4K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
18 YESvs38 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 62% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
+16 new YES$224+15 new NO$858
$265 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4.6K is directional: YES $2.8K·NO $1.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.3K
Avg Win Rate
65.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.8K(-54.5%)
Whales
18
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥇
Entry 30¢·7,541.1 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-1213
$-1213INV $2.2K · WR 63.4%
U
Upbeat-Politician🥈hedged
Entry 88¢·341.7 shares·also $84 on NO
Invested
$302
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
$-256
$-256INV $302 · WR 73.9%
S
spaceloaf🥉
Entry 47¢·299.9 shares
Invested
$142
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
$-101
$-101INV $142 · WR 67.8%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 37¢·318.9 shares
Invested
$119
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-76
$-76INV $119 · WR 66.8%
S
StarMaster◆Proven
Entry 17¢·700 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $118 · WR 55.4%
N
neverhackme
Entry 38¢·280 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-70
$-70INV $107 · WR 75.8%
W
wert4
Entry 41¢·131.2 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $53 · WR 65.1%
C
christopherhicks
Entry 65¢·44.6 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $29 · WR 79.5%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 37¢·28.6 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $11 · WR 68.2%
Showing top 9 of 18
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.1K
Avg Win Rate
79.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.5K(+41.5%)
Whales
38
G
gmgmgmgmg🥇
Entry 65¢·1,814.4 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$387
+$387INV $1.2K · WR 79.2%
P
Pure-Threat◆Proven🥈
Entry 63¢·1,313.3 shares
Invested
$830
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
+$306
+$306INV $830 · WR 82.0%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 68¢·1,070.2 shares
Invested
$731
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$194
+$194INV $731 · WR 87.7%
M
merod
Entry 54¢·1,229.7 shares
Invested
$661
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$402
+$402INV $661 · WR 84.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 53¢·699.7 shares
Invested
$369
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$237
+$237INV $369 · WR 72.2%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 54¢·488.7 shares
Invested
$264
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$159
+$159INV $264 · WR 59.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·497.5 shares
Invested
$249
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$181
+$181INV $249 · WR 79.6%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 50¢·404 shares
Invested
$203
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$146
+$146INV $203 · WR 59.8%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 55¢·350 shares
Invested
$193
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$110
+$110INV $193 · WR 88.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 68¢·250.7 shares
Invested
$171
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $171 · WR 85.9%
Showing top 10 of 38
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