Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$121.6K
1,463 trades
Smart Whales
64
of 191 traders · 2 on both sides
Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)
3 MARKETS · $522.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections
90¢−61¢$192.8K12/30Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections−61¢90¢
$192.8K12/30
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
27 YESvs39 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 18% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+100 new YES$10.2K+95 new NO$85.7K
$9.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 48 buyers — left out of momentum
23 smart whales42 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$29 of $4.1K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $742·NO $3.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
63.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.0K(-78.9%)
Whales
27
P
puravida🥇hedged
Entry 10¢·3,541 shares·also $3.2K on NO
Invested
$341
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-302
$-302INV $341 · WR 59.5%
P
Philwos🥈
Entry 18¢·1,250 shares
Invested
$226
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-216
$-216INV $226 · WR 66.7%
P
Pricey-Million🥉
Entry 7¢·2,385.4 shares
Invested
$160
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-140
$-140INV $160 · WR 60.4%
T
title1◆Proven
Entry 7¢·1,626.3 shares
Invested
$109
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-96
$-96INV $109 · WR 55.9%
H
Hjklm
Entry 8¢·946.6 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-66
$-66INV $74 · WR 87.4%
R
Rhabarberbarbarbar
Entry 2¢·2,536.5 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $58 · WR 70.6%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 6¢·703.3 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $40 · WR 60.2%
S
sciuboi
Entry 11¢·304.2 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $34 · WR 71.1%
1
11122
Entry 16¢·188 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $30 · WR 60.6%
T
trashtier
Entry 19¢·150 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $28 · WR 63.2%
Showing top 10 of 27
NO Team
Total Invested
$22.0K
Avg Win Rate
76.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.4K(+10.7%)
Whales
39
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 97¢·4,146 shares
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $4.0K · WR 86.2%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 96¢·4,003 shares
Invested
$3.8K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$126
+$126INV $3.8K · WR 79.6%
P
puravida🥉hedged
Entry 90¢·3,541 shares·also $341 on YES
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$319
+$319INV $3.2K · WR 59.5%
P
peepeepooppoop
Entry 95¢·1,874.6 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $1.8K · WR 62.1%
A
anciano
Entry 81¢·1,697.2 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$312
+$312INV $1.4K · WR 59.8%
L
Lucerys
Entry 58¢·1,986.3 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$818
+$818INV $1.1K · WR 88.0%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 89¢·986.8 shares
Invested
$873
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$103
+$103INV $873 · WR 88.9%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 99¢·750 shares
Invested
$740
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $740 · WR 85.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 85¢·845.7 shares
Invested
$721
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$115
+$115INV $721 · WR 89.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 84¢·461.4 shares
Invested
$389
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$67
+$67INV $389 · WR 87.7%
Showing top 10 of 39
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