Politics22 days left

Will the Republican Party win the CA-38 House seat?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

0¢

0% implied

NO Price

100¢

100% implied

Volume

$32.1K

281 trades

Smart Whales

11

of 98 traders

CA-38 House Election Winner

2 MARKETS · $65.7K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat

98¢−27¢$33.7K5/2

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat−27¢98¢

Will the Republican Party win the CA-38 House seat←

0¢+45¢$32.1K5/6

Will the Republican Party win the CA-38 House seat←+45¢0¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs6 NO

46%55%

55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $92 is directional: YES $27·NO $65

YES Team

Total Invested

$406

Avg Win Rate

63.1%

Aggregate P&L

-$403(-99.2%)

Whales

5

nicoco89🥇hedged

Entry 98¢·368.3 shares·also $112 on NO

$-360INV $361 · WR 62.6%

Entry 12¢·225 shares

$-26INV $27 · WR 68.7%

aliiz🥉hedged

Entry 91¢·16.9 shares·also $8 on NO

$-15INV $15 · WR 65.1%

Entry 12¢·16.1 shares·also $15 on NO

$-2INV $2 · WR 62.8%

Entry 0¢·110.4 shares

+$0INV $0 · WR 56.5%

NO Team

Total Invested

$222

Avg Win Rate

63.3%

Aggregate P&L

+$482(+217.5%)

Whales

6

nicoco89🥇hedged

Entry 31¢·368.3 shares·also $361 on YES

+$254INV $112 · WR 62.6%

GluedProven🥈

Entry 92¢·69 shares

+$5INV $63 · WR 56.2%

influenz.eth🥉

Entry 9¢·234.3 shares

+$212INV $21 · WR 85.8%

Entry 93¢·16.1 shares·also $2 on YES

+$1INV $15 · WR 62.8%

Entry 46¢·16.9 shares·also $15 on YES

+$9INV $8 · WR 65.1%

Entry 92¢·1.8 shares

+$0INV $2 · WR 91.5%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 46% YES: the Republican Party win the CA-38…