Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-08 House election by 6%-9%?
YES Price
85¢
85% implied
NO Price
15¢
15% implied
Volume
$7.7K
278 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 90 traders
WI-08 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $33.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs12 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 65% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 87%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$489+7 new NO$79
$7 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
2 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $215 is directional: YES $140·NO $75YES Team
Total Invested
$140
Avg Win Rate
83.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$25(-18.0%)
Whales
4
R
RayGuy🥇
Entry 86¢·81.9 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
96.3%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $70 · WR 96.3%
J
Juju48🥈
Entry 82¢·61.5 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $50 · WR 75.8%
T
thanksforplayin🥉
Entry 43¢·45.8 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $20 · WR 55.7%
S
spaceloaf
Entry 0¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $0 · WR 64.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$416
Avg Win Rate
78.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$270(-64.9%)
Whales
12
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 51¢·270 shares
Invested
$137
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-97
$-97INV $137 · WR 88.5%
M
mantou11🥈
Entry 84¢·88.9 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $75 · WR 56.2%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 37¢·177.5 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $65 · WR 72.0%
L
Lucerys
Entry 54¢·111 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $59 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 53¢·49.6 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $26 · WR 79.2%
A
Anjun◆Proven
Entry 78¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $16 · WR 58.5%
T
Thorny-Parachute-Philanthropy
Entry 50¢·27 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $14 · WR 86.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $10 · WR 87.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 65¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $7 · WR 79.7%
G
god83743894
Entry 15¢·30 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
—
—INV $5 · WR 86.0%
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