Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 10%-15%?
YES Price
94¢
94% implied
NO Price
6¢
6% implied
Volume
$3.7K
172 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 75 traders
Tennessee Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $24.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs13 NO
24%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $176 is directional: YES $176·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$176
Avg Win Rate
73.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$112(+63.7%)
Whales
4
R
RayGuy🥇
Entry 65¢·170.7 shares
Invested
$111
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $111 · WR 77.1%
V
vyemfql🥈
Entry 95¢·43.8 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $42 · WR 71.2%
T
thanksforplayin🥉
Entry 30¢·68.5 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $20 · WR 55.9%
E
Exotic-Towel-Stole
Entry 13¢·21.8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $3 · WR 65.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$105
Avg Win Rate
84.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$80(-76.2%)
Whales
13
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 49¢·54.9 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $27 · WR 79.2%
T
Tee1000🥈
Entry 89¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $18 · WR 82.0%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 32¢·40 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $13 · WR 89.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 19¢·60 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $11 · WR 87.5%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 13¢·60 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $8 · WR 86.4%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 23¢·30 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $7 · WR 87.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 21¢·30 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $6 · WR 88.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 16¢·30 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 86.0%
P
plainfolder
Entry 11¢·30 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 86.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 11¢·30 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 88.5%
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