Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 5% or more?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$3.1K
110 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 45 traders
Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $39.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs12 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$18+8 new NO$1.5K
$27 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.1K is directional: YES $26·NO $1.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$26
Avg Win Rate
72.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$21(-81.5%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
74.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$128(+8.9%)
Whales
12
M
miiland🥇
Entry 89¢·380 shares
Invested
$340
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $340 · WR 55.0%
C
conherence🥈
Entry 98¢·283.8 shares
Invested
$279
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $279 · WR 59.3%
O
okalright🥉
Entry 98¢·268.6 shares
Invested
$263
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $263 · WR 87.0%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 81¢·263.9 shares
Invested
$213
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $213 · WR 86.2%
T
Talophex
Entry 99¢·154.1 shares
Invested
$152
Win Rate
91.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $152 · WR 91.7%
C
C.PM
Entry 99¢·60 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $60 · WR 85.8%
L
Lucerys
Entry 100¢·50 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $50 · WR 88.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 100¢·41.6 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $41 · WR 87.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 93¢·34.3 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $32 · WR 88.7%
F
Fallon
Entry 97¢·15.5 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $15 · WR 88.1%
Showing top 10 of 12
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 2ms (cached)