Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$1.2K
77 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 37 traders
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $36.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$6+10 new NO$695
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1 is directional: YES $1·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$1
Avg Win Rate
84.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-30.6%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$781
Avg Win Rate
82.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$63(+8.1%)
Whales
10
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 100¢·283.8 shares
Invested
$283
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $283 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 100¢·130 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $129 · WR 72.1%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 97¢·80 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $77 · WR 88.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 100¢·75 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $75 · WR 88.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 99¢·75 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $75 · WR 89.3%
P
plainfolder
Entry 98¢·45 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $44 · WR 86.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·70.4 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $35 · WR 87.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $30 · WR 89.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 100¢·25 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $25 · WR 79.7%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 86¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 84.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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