Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$1.6K
75 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 41 traders
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $36.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs9 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%
+11 new YES$26+8 new NO$645
2 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6 is directional: YES $6·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$8
Avg Win Rate
76.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-36.1%)
Whales
4
M
mustbethewater🥇
Entry 8¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 79.7%
S
sweetj🥈
Entry 6¢·40 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 74.9%
L
lightsout912🥉
Entry 1¢·140 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 67.2%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 8¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 86.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$437
Avg Win Rate
83.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$111(+25.3%)
Whales
9
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 99¢·125.3 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $125 · WR 72.1%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 100¢·85 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $85 · WR 88.7%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 100¢·65 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $65 · WR 86.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $50 · WR 88.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·70.4 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $35 · WR 87.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $30 · WR 87.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $30 · WR 89.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $13 · WR 79.6%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 84.3%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1237ms