Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 12% or more?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$1.4K
79 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 41 traders
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $36.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs13 NO
93%
93% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+8 new YES$6+8 new NO$695
1 smart whale5 smart whales
YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
74.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-36.8%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$445
Avg Win Rate
82.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$232(+52.2%)
Whales
13
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 100¢·150.5 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $150 · WR 72.1%
G
god83743894🥈
Entry 72¢·145 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $105 · WR 85.9%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 76¢·125 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $95 · WR 89.3%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·70.4 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $35 · WR 87.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 63¢·55 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $35 · WR 89.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 100¢·25 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $25 · WR 79.7%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 90¢·0.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 87.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 0¢·20 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $0 · WR 86.1%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 0¢·20 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $0 · WR 86.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 0¢·20 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $0 · WR 88.1%
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