PoliticsResolved
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$11.8K
539 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 162 traders
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs19 NO
24%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 67% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $141 is directional: YES $95·NO $46YES Team
Total Invested
$538
Avg Win Rate
61.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$543(+100.9%)
Whales
6
F
FrozenParasite🥇
Entry 48¢·652.5 shares
Invested
$313
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$340
+$340INV $313 · WR 56.4%
U
UbuntuTrading🥈
Entry 68¢·144.1 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $98 · WR 66.5%
B
BUPT🥉
Entry 94¢·99.8 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $93 · WR 71.6%
A
0xab808c78...hedged
Entry 17¢·150 shares·also $155 on NO
Invested
$26
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$125
+$125INV $26 · WR 61.2%
M
Mandalorec
Entry 24¢·29 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $7 · WR 60.0%
C
Colala
Entry 14¢·8.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $1 · WR 55.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$831
Avg Win Rate
81.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$826(-99.3%)
Whales
19
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 79¢·313.4 shares
Invested
$246
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-246
$-246INV $246 · WR 85.8%
A
0xab808c78...🥈hedged
Entry 104¢·150 shares·also $26 on YES
Invested
$155
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-155
$-155INV $155 · WR 61.2%
P
paspor🥉
Entry 91¢·122.1 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-112
$-112INV $112 · WR 85.8%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 85¢·80 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $68 · WR 89.0%
S
shine
Entry 89¢·60 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $53 · WR 89.3%
E
EdwardLewis
Entry 87¢·60 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $52 · WR 89.0%
E
eto1lol
Entry 85¢·35 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $30 · WR 85.4%
T
Tysha
Entry 57¢·50 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $28 · WR 89.2%
U
Unacceptable-Woman
Entry 73¢·30 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
89.7%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $22 · WR 89.7%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 6¢·170 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 84.8%
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