231 days left
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$13.5K
279 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 105 traders
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Rank Debut?
4 MARKETS · $59.6K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs5 NO
38%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 80%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$141+12 new NO$457
$71 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $179 is directional: YES $5·NO $174YES Team
Total Invested
$13
Avg Win Rate
70.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$3(+24.9%)
Whales
3
K
klli27🥇hedged
Entry 26¢·25 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $7 · WR 81.1%
N
NoTeacher🥈
Entry 6¢·82.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $5 · WR 60.0%
B
BAO95889🥉hedged
Entry 29¢·4.7 shares·also $40 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$239
Avg Win Rate
77.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$20(-8.4%)
Whales
5
K
kl1v🥇
Entry 84¢·205.6 shares
Invested
$174
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $174 · WR 81.3%
B
BAO95889🥈hedged
Entry 852¢·4.7 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$40
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $40 · WR 59.9%
K
klli27🥉hedged
Entry 76¢·25 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $19 · WR 81.1%
B
big-bird1
Entry 237¢·1.6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 69.2%
L
LabEma
Entry 91¢·2.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
92.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 92.4%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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