Tech/AIResolved
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$11.4K
442 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 140 traders
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs9 NO
63%38%
63% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 28% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $466 is directional: YES $132·NO $334YES Team
Total Invested
$2.8K
Avg Win Rate
74.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.1K(+37.9%)
Whales
15
K
kl1v🥇
Entry 58¢·2,900.6 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
80.9%
Position P&L
+$1224
+$1224INV $1.7K · WR 80.9%
M
molodoyy🥈hedged
Entry 436¢·110 shares·also $547 on NO
Invested
$479
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-369
$-369INV $479 · WR 63.3%
B
BrownBees◆Proven🥉
Entry 82¢·286.3 shares
Invested
$235
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $235 · WR 62.6%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 83¢·181.4 shares·also $58 on NO
Invested
$151
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $151 · WR 72.0%
H
hithitfar
Entry 78¢·104.5 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $82 · WR 59.8%
M
meagainsttheworld◆Proven
Entry 50¢·128.1 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
64.2%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $64 · WR 64.2%
M
melchior1248
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $40 · WR 69.5%
P
polspols
Entry 89¢·40 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
94.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $36 · WR 94.4%
G
G24L8
Entry 75¢·37.8 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $28 · WR 66.2%
4
4ts3hc
Entry 45¢·41 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $18 · WR 67.6%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
67.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.3K(-98.4%)
Whales
9
M
molodoyy🥇hedged
Entry 729¢·75 shares·also $479 on YES
Invested
$547
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-547
$-547INV $547 · WR 63.3%
T
turtle911◆Proven🥈
Entry 70¢·461.1 shares
Invested
$323
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
$-323
$-323INV $323 · WR 73.5%
L
libratus1◆Proven🥉
Entry 56¢·300 shares
Invested
$168
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
$-168
$-168INV $168 · WR 68.7%
M
melonmanm◆Proven
Entry 31¢·395.4 shares
Invested
$122
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
$-122
$-122INV $122 · WR 70.1%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 15¢·373.2 shares·also $151 on YES
Invested
$58
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $58 · WR 72.0%
L
lightsout912
Entry 58¢·50 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $29 · WR 67.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·32 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 66.6%
P
parameter1
Entry 86¢·17.4 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $15 · WR 62.3%
Showing top 8 of 9
Smart Whale Trades
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