Tech/AI78 days left
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$43.8K
654 trades
Smart Whales
33
of 160 traders
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
4 MARKETS · $140.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher
99¢−29¢$47.4K26/11Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher−29¢99¢
$47.4K26/11
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher
98¢−24¢$17.9K20/7Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher−24¢98¢
$17.9K20/7
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Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs25 NO
24%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 21 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$18+11 new NO$4.9K
$19 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $17.4K is directional: YES $8·NO $17.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.0K
Avg Win Rate
67.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$926(-89.1%)
Whales
8
O
Olcan🥇hedged
Entry 103¢·409.8 shares·also $193 on NO
Invested
$420
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
$-412
$-412INV $420 · WR 76.8%
L
Lolakis🥈
Entry 87¢·391.8 shares
Invested
$340
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-332
$-332INV $340 · WR 61.9%
N
NoTeacher🥉hedged
Entry 139¢·128.1 shares·also $53 on NO
Invested
$178
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-176
$-176INV $178 · WR 56.3%
R
romanew-5-15p
Entry 15¢·32.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 76.9%
F
Forsaken-Accomplishment
Entry 5¢·30 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 64.5%
D
Demanding-Breakthrough
Entry 15¢·8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.1%
Showing top 6 of 8
NO Team
Total Invested
$17.7K
Avg Win Rate
71.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.1K(+11.9%)
Whales
25
T
The-Joker◆Proven🥇
Entry 90¢·11,308.5 shares
Invested
$10.2K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$915
+$915INV $10.2K · WR 70.0%
G
GollumGekko◆Proven🥈
Entry 88¢·4,000 shares
Invested
$3.5K
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$401
+$401INV $3.5K · WR 75.9%
K
KimchiCapital◆Proven🥉
Entry 82¢·1,473.6 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$242
+$242INV $1.2K · WR 79.3%
P
PMTraderAdam◆Proven
Entry 91¢·800 shares
Invested
$730
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $730 · WR 79.5%
C
cambridgeisaac
Entry 92¢·500 shares
Invested
$458
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $458 · WR 57.2%
T
totti82
Entry 81¢·410.6 shares
Invested
$333
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$71
+$71INV $333 · WR 61.5%
O
Olcanhedged
Entry 43¢·446.8 shares·also $420 on YES
Invested
$193
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$245
+$245INV $193 · WR 76.8%
3
0x34a9e26a...
Entry 91¢·196.6 shares
Invested
$178
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $178 · WR 65.7%
C
Car
Entry 99¢·144.1 shares
Invested
$143
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $143 · WR 65.0%
M
molodoyy◆Proven
Entry 82¢·128.6 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $106 · WR 63.5%
Showing top 10 of 25
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