Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$35.5K
1,164 trades
Smart Whales
41
of 210 traders
Smart Money Consensus
23 YESvs18 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 82% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.4K is directional: YES $2.0K·NO $447YES Team
Total Invested
$7.3K
Avg Win Rate
72.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+0.0%)
Whales
23
T
The-Joker🥇hedged
Entry 248¢·950.7 shares·also $2.2K on NO
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-1409
$-1409INV $2.4K · WR 69.7%
M
molodoyy🥈hedged
Entry 113¢·837.7 shares·also $676 on NO
Invested
$945
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
$-107
$-107INV $945 · WR 63.5%
J
JRocHWC◆Proven🥉
Entry 99¢·805.4 shares
Invested
$795
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $795 · WR 80.5%
W
wubddh
Entry 100¢·791.1 shares
Invested
$790
Win Rate
92.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $790 · WR 92.1%
B
BAO95889hedged
Entry 91¢·541.8 shares·also $589 on NO
Invested
$493
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $493 · WR 57.9%
I
iutwpfal
Entry 50¢·747 shares
Invested
$373
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
+$373
+$373INV $373 · WR 73.8%
R
ronaldk
Entry 70¢·438.1 shares
Invested
$305
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$134
+$134INV $305 · WR 72.2%
F
fountaim◆Proven
Entry 75¢·361.9 shares
Invested
$270
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$87
+$87INV $270 · WR 84.1%
O
Olcanhedged
Entry 77¢·300.8 shares·also $167 on NO
Invested
$232
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $232 · WR 76.8%
N
NoTeacherhedged
Entry 60¢·364.9 shares·also $35 on NO
Invested
$220
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$145
+$145INV $220 · WR 56.6%
Showing top 10 of 23
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.3K
Avg Win Rate
67.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.2K(-97.8%)
Whales
18
T
The-Joker🥇hedged
Entry 177¢·1,252.2 shares·also $2.4K on YES
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-2220
$-2220INV $2.2K · WR 69.7%
M
molodoyy🥈hedged
Entry 81¢·837.7 shares·also $945 on YES
Invested
$676
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
$-676
$-676INV $676 · WR 63.5%
B
BAO95889🥉hedged
Entry 94¢·626.6 shares·also $493 on YES
Invested
$589
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-589
$-589INV $589 · WR 57.9%
P
PiMaak
Entry 57¢·403.8 shares
Invested
$231
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-226
$-226INV $231 · WR 68.2%
O
Olcanhedged
Entry 64¢·260.8 shares·also $232 on YES
Invested
$167
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
$-167
$-167INV $167 · WR 76.8%
V
viniihedged
Entry 59¢·197.2 shares·also $205 on YES
Invested
$116
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-116
$-116INV $116 · WR 65.8%
K
KimchiCapital◆Proven
Entry 73¢·82 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $60 · WR 79.3%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 61¢·90 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $55 · WR 69.7%
P
petruccci
Entry 49¢·100 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $49 · WR 69.3%
F
ForeverAlone69
Entry 67¢·59.3 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $40 · WR 59.0%
Showing top 10 of 18
Smart Whale Trades
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