Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$16.4K
485 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 149 traders
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs5 NO
75%25%
75% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $907 is directional: YES $868·NO $38YES Team
Total Invested
$2.5K
Avg Win Rate
76.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.0K(+42.1%)
Whales
15
P
Parz1vaI🥇
Entry 89¢·925.7 shares
Invested
$826
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $826 · WR 71.6%
L
lihpare🥈
Entry 98¢·655 shares
Invested
$641
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $641 · WR 80.8%
L
libratus1◆Proven🥉
Entry 47¢·619.1 shares
Invested
$289
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
+$330
+$330INV $289 · WR 68.7%
K
kl1v
Entry 50¢·502 shares
Invested
$251
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$251
+$251INV $251 · WR 81.3%
W
wish-
Entry 50¢·383.8 shares
Invested
$192
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$192
+$192INV $192 · WR 84.0%
N
Nostrafakus
Entry 96¢·100 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $96 · WR 88.8%
N
NeevS
Entry 92¢·95.3 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $87 · WR 88.6%
P
parameter1hedged
Entry 21¢·157.8 shares·also $187 on NO
Invested
$34
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$124
+$124INV $34 · WR 61.7%
S
sand1
Entry 94¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 78.0%
J
jesterthegoose
Entry 50¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $15 · WR 81.0%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$227
Avg Win Rate
62.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$225(-99.2%)
Whales
5
P
parameter1🥇hedged
Entry 118¢·157.8 shares·also $34 on YES
Invested
$187
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-187
$-187INV $187 · WR 61.7%
A
aliiz🥈
Entry 52¢·67.1 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $35 · WR 65.1%
C
Chrissistar04🥉
Entry 54¢·4.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 75.2%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 30¢·6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 68.9%
M
Memorable-Castanet
Entry 1¢·100 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 88.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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