Tech/AI261 days left
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$11.0K
409 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 97 traders
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
4 MARKETS · $43.5K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs12 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 80%· net of hedges
+25 new YES$290+6 new NO$999
$89 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.1K is directional: YES $62·NO $1.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$785
Avg Win Rate
65.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$536(-68.3%)
Whales
7
B
BAO95889🥇hedged
Entry 95¢·277.7 shares·also $44 on NO
Invested
$263
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-217
$-217INV $263 · WR 57.2%
B
Bersa1202🥈hedged
Entry 81¢·310.4 shares·also $52 on NO
Invested
$251
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
$-200
$-200INV $251 · WR 76.8%
M
molodoyy🥉hedged
Entry 134¢·155.4 shares·also $58 on NO
Invested
$208
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-182
$-182INV $208 · WR 63.6%
K
KiruaTrading
Entry 8¢·609 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $47 · WR 61.5%
M
Majas
Entry 22¢·67.7 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $15 · WR 67.4%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 88¢·1 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 68.4%
P
pppooooolllmmmkhedged
Entry 1¢·89 shares·also $83 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $1 · WR 76.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
70.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$477(+35.0%)
Whales
12
I
iutwpfal🥇
Entry 79¢·1,065.1 shares
Invested
$844
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $844 · WR 74.1%
N
NoTeacher🥈
Entry 84¢·161 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $135 · WR 56.1%
P
pppooooolllmmmk🥉hedged
Entry 73¢·114 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$83
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $83 · WR 76.2%
A
AboveLookUp
Entry 82¢·79.7 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $65 · WR 72.7%
M
molodoyyhedged
Entry 38¢·155.4 shares·also $208 on YES
Invested
$58
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$71
+$71INV $58 · WR 63.6%
B
Bersa1202hedged
Entry 17¢·310.4 shares·also $251 on YES
Invested
$52
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$207
+$207INV $52 · WR 76.8%
B
BAO95889hedged
Entry 21¢·203.4 shares·also $263 on YES
Invested
$44
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$126
+$126INV $44 · WR 57.2%
H
Hazel1122
Entry 86¢·50 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $43 · WR 55.8%
P
parameter1
Entry 76¢·39.8 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $30 · WR 61.7%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 29¢·18.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $5 · WR 84.8%
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