Tech/AI261 days left
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
YES Price
57¢
57% implied
NO Price
43¢
43% implied
Volume
$9.5K
485 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 127 traders
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
4 MARKETS · $43.5K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs10 NO
52%48%
52% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 74% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 66%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$380+17 new NO$213
$59 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.4K is directional: YES $1.0K·NO $361YES Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
61.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$389(+26.0%)
Whales
11
M
Milksheen🥇
Entry 61¢·1,089.3 shares
Invested
$665
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$190
+$190INV $665 · WR 57.5%
B
BAO95889🥈hedged
Entry 81¢·255.9 shares·also $73 on NO
Invested
$208
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-61
$-61INV $208 · WR 57.2%
M
M8880🥉
Entry 61¢·291.9 shares
Invested
$178
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $178 · WR 73.5%
K
KiruaTrading
Entry 35¢·455.6 shares
Invested
$158
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$200
+$200INV $158 · WR 61.5%
N
NoTeacherhedged
Entry 67¢·208.1 shares·also $78 on NO
Invested
$139
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $139 · WR 56.1%
I
iutwpfal
Entry 58¢·195.8 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $113 · WR 74.1%
S
SusanWarrenHR◆Proven
Entry 40¢·40 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $16 · WR 67.5%
Y
yoyo424269hedged
Entry 32¢·20 shares·also $13 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $6 · WR 70.4%
A
AboveLookUphedged
Entry 17¢·32.9 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $6 · WR 72.7%
C
cloverpmq2
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 60.1%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$541
Avg Win Rate
61.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$191(-35.3%)
Whales
10
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥇
Entry 61¢·312 shares
Invested
$190
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-123
$-123INV $190 · WR 63.6%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 61¢·185.9 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-73
$-73INV $113 · WR 57.7%
N
NoTeacher🥉hedged
Entry 36¢·214 shares·also $139 on YES
Invested
$78
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $78 · WR 56.1%
B
BAO95889hedged
Entry 36¢·200 shares·also $208 on YES
Invested
$73
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $73 · WR 57.2%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 57¢·50 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $29 · WR 69.8%
K
KimchiCapital◆Proven
Entry 27¢·80 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $21 · WR 79.3%
A
AboveLookUphedged
Entry 24¢·65.3 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$16
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $16 · WR 72.7%
Y
yoyo424269hedged
Entry 66¢·20 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$13
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $13 · WR 70.4%
_
_test_i075_CAND_11b7
Entry 63¢·11.9 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $8 · WR 59.0%
W
Welcome2026
Entry 63¢·1.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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