Tech/AI261 days left
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?
YES Price
94¢
94% implied
NO Price
6¢
6% implied
Volume
$13.8K
385 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 96 traders
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
4 MARKETS · $44.8K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs6 NO
63%38%
63% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 62%
+3 new YES$48+3 new NO$30
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.9K is directional: YES $2.8K·NO $112YES Team
Total Invested
$2.8K
Avg Win Rate
59.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$334(+11.8%)
Whales
10
M
Milksheen🥇
Entry 86¢·2,559 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$187
+$187INV $2.2K · WR 57.5%
S
SusanWarrenHR◆Proven🥈
Entry 82¢·350 shares
Invested
$287
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $287 · WR 67.5%
A
AboveLookUp🥉
Entry 86¢·124.2 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $107 · WR 72.7%
T
techhawk
Entry 88¢·113.6 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $100 · WR 62.7%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 86¢·50 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $43 · WR 69.8%
V
VolynMolfar
Entry 84¢·49.6 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $42 · WR 66.0%
B
Bersa1202hedged
Entry 30¢·85.1 shares·also $93 on NO
Invested
$26
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $26 · WR 76.8%
I
iutwpfal
Entry 83¢·8.7 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 74.1%
N
NoTeacherhedged
Entry 17¢·37 shares·also $67 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $6 · WR 56.1%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 91¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 68.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$272
Avg Win Rate
68.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$202(-74.1%)
Whales
6
B
Bersa1202🥇hedged
Entry 110¢·85.1 shares·also $26 on YES
Invested
$93
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
$-88
$-88INV $93 · WR 76.8%
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥈
Entry 11¢·670.8 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $71 · WR 63.6%
N
NoTeacher🥉hedged
Entry 117¢·57 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$67
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-63
$-63INV $67 · WR 56.1%
P
pppooooolllmmmk
Entry 23¢·160 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $37 · WR 76.2%
_
_test_i075_CAND_11b7
Entry 17¢·17.4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 59.0%
X
Xeny
Entry 0¢·104 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $0 · WR 62.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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