Resolved
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 21 and September 25, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$9.9K
443 trades
Smart Whales
29
of 118 traders
When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?
2 MARKETS · $11.2K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs19 NO
35%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 87% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $216 is directional: YES $188·NO $29YES Team
Total Invested
$475
Avg Win Rate
60.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$423(-89.0%)
Whales
10
R
rabbit007🥇hedged
Entry 164¢·88 shares·also $72 on NO
Invested
$144
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-144
$-144INV $144 · WR 61.1%
C
Capital.🥈
Entry 9¢·915 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-63
$-63INV $81 · WR 61.7%
T
trashcanned🥉
Entry 27¢·270 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-69
$-69INV $74 · WR 59.3%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 50¢·113.3 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $57 · WR 59.4%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 50¢·100.8 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $50 · WR 59.6%
W
wert4
Entry 23¢·145.5 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $33 · WR 65.1%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 22¢·46 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 56.7%
Showing top 7 of 10
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
83.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$628(+46.7%)
Whales
19
H
HondaCivic🥇
Entry 83¢·696 shares
Invested
$581
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
+$115
+$115INV $581 · WR 84.9%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 67¢·184 shares
Invested
$124
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $124 · WR 87.7%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 66¢·180 shares
Invested
$119
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $119 · WR 86.0%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 61¢·160.3 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $98 · WR 86.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·194.8 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$97
+$97INV $97 · WR 79.6%
K
korda77
Entry 45¢·171.9 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$95
+$95INV $77 · WR 85.2%
R
rabbit007hedged
Entry 81¢·88 shares·also $144 on YES
Invested
$72
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $72 · WR 61.1%
D
DOJ
Entry 50¢·132 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $66 · WR 77.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 80¢·40.6 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $32 · WR 85.9%
D
deepsleep
Entry 96¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $29 · WR 69.2%
Showing top 10 of 19
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 526ms