Resolved
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$32.7K
1,255 trades
Smart Whales
36
of 324 traders
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs25 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $382 is directional: YES $372·NO $10YES Team
Total Invested
$2.6K
Avg Win Rate
60.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.0K(+38.4%)
Whales
11
F
FrozenParasite🥇
Entry 184¢·649 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-546
$-546INV $1.2K · WR 56.4%
J
jcharger◆Proven🥈
Entry 43¢·1,384 shares
Invested
$598
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$786
+$786INV $598 · WR 58.1%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥉
Entry 54¢·427 shares
Invested
$229
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$198
+$198INV $229 · WR 63.4%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 83¢·240 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-51
$-51INV $200 · WR 69.8%
6
0x6fa70d26...◆Proven
Entry 37¢·370.7 shares
Invested
$137
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$93
+$93INV $137 · WR 88.8%
M
mantou11
Entry 71¢·163.2 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $116 · WR 56.7%
M
molodoyy◆Proven
Entry 16¢·276.8 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$231
+$231INV $45 · WR 63.6%
G
Glorious-Pretzel
Entry 53¢·65 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $34 · WR 61.7%
M
Maximus374◆Proven
Entry 108¢·30 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
72.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $32 · WR 72.9%
1
1oooo9kklhedged
Entry 7¢·258.1 shares·also $71 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$239
+$239INV $19 · WR 66.7%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$572
Avg Win Rate
74.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$488(-85.4%)
Whales
25
S
Started-with-20-USD◆Proven🥇
Entry 63¢·218.4 shares
Invested
$137
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-137
$-137INV $137 · WR 59.0%
1
1oooo9kkl🥈hedged
Entry 86¢·82.1 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$71
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-71
$-71INV $71 · WR 66.7%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 25¢·215.5 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $54 · WR 89.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 10¢·389.4 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $39 · WR 85.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 73¢·50.5 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $37 · WR 79.6%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 23¢·153.3 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $35 · WR 79.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 57¢·54.2 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $31 · WR 87.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 43¢·69 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $30 · WR 89.3%
L
lpgb
Entry 24¢·70 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $17 · WR 75.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 41¢·40 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 88.7%
Showing top 10 of 25
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