Resolved
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$37.9K
1,087 trades
Smart Whales
40
of 251 traders
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs31 NO
23%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 60% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $62 is directional: YES $37·NO $25YES Team
Total Invested
$9.7K
Avg Win Rate
64.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$10.9K(+112.2%)
Whales
9
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥇
Entry 50¢·14,956 shares
Invested
$7.5K
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$7460
+$7460INV $7.5K · WR 63.4%
F
FrozenParasite🥈
Entry 42¢·3,284.1 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$1893
+$1893INV $1.4K · WR 56.4%
6
0x6fa70d26...◆Proven🥉
Entry 50¢·1,139 shares
Invested
$570
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$570
+$570INV $570 · WR 88.8%
S
sergay
Entry 16¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$155
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$845
+$845INV $155 · WR 83.8%
S
Started-with-20-USDhedged
Entry 36¢·97.7 shares·also $186 on NO
Invested
$35
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $35 · WR 59.0%
S
Shy-Note◆Proven
Entry 29¢·80 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $23 · WR 56.8%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 98¢·13.8 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $14 · WR 68.2%
Showing top 7 of 9
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
76.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.5K(-91.8%)
Whales
31
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 49¢·577.1 shares
Invested
$281
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-281
$-281INV $281 · WR 72.2%
S
Started-with-20-USD🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·373.1 shares·also $35 on YES
Invested
$186
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-186
$-186INV $186 · WR 59.0%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 59¢·216.5 shares
Invested
$127
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-127
$-127INV $127 · WR 88.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 41¢·258.9 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-105
$-105INV $105 · WR 85.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 63¢·160 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-101
$-101INV $101 · WR 89.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 53¢·189.9 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-101
$-101INV $101 · WR 79.6%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 23¢·430.5 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-98
$-98INV $98 · WR 55.3%
P
plainfolder
Entry 42¢·204 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-85
$-85INV $85 · WR 86.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 62¢·130.4 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-81
$-81INV $81 · WR 87.7%
L
Late-Squirrel-Mecca
Entry 50¢·155.5 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
$-78
$-78INV $78 · WR 67.7%
Showing top 10 of 31
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