18 days left
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?
YES Price
83¢
83% implied
NO Price
17¢
17% implied
Volume
$28.0K
644 trades
Smart Whales
29
of 172 traders
Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?
5 MARKETS · $118.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs23 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 83¢
YES 21%NO 79%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 83¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 85% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 85%
$17
$3
+1 new YES+2 new NO · 1 smart whale
In-form wallets ⓘ3 of 4 on YES
YES 3NO 1one dot = one wallet
3 wallets on YES
1 wallet on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 37h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $109 is directional: YES $93·NO $17YES Team
Total Invested
$238
Avg Win Rate
82.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$327(+137.2%)
Whales
6
W
wuwuwuwuwu11🥇hedged
Entry 79¢·149.7 shares·also $22 on NO
Invested
$118
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $118 · WR 86.2%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 20¢·286.2 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$175
+$175INV $57 · WR 87.7%
A
allofit🥉hedged
Entry 68¢·40 shares·also $26 on NO
Invested
$27
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $27 · WR 70.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 15¢·166 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$109
+$109INV $25 · WR 66.8%
L
luciebot
Entry 20¢·31 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $6 · WR 80.6%
S
sd4f5g67h8j9
Entry 20¢·20 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $4 · WR 88.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
80.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$814(-61.5%)
Whales
23
P
plainfolder🥇
Entry 74¢·255 shares
Invested
$190
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-145
$-145INV $190 · WR 86.1%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 28¢·592.1 shares
Invested
$167
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-64
$-64INV $167 · WR 71.9%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 54¢·265 shares
Invested
$143
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-97
$-97INV $143 · WR 87.5%
L
lpgb
Entry 61¢·188 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-82
$-82INV $115 · WR 72.0%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 63¢·154.7 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-71
$-71INV $98 · WR 86.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 36¢·260.2 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $94 · WR 79.2%
M
melchior1248
Entry 60¢·135.4 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $81 · WR 70.1%
A
anothercoin
Entry 27¢·273.4 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $75 · WR 84.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 58¢·92.4 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $54 · WR 79.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 74¢·67 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $50 · WR 89.0%
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