🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
18 days left

Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$21.0K
551 trades
Smart Whales
28
of 166 traders

Lowest Mississippi level at Baton Rouge by November 30?

5 MARKETS · $80.8K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs24 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 13¢
YES 14%NO 86%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 13¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 60% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+2 new YES+1 new NO
$15 bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 3 · 2
YES 3NO 2one dot = one wallet
3 wallets on YES
2 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 37h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $499 is directional: YES $300·NO $199
YES Team
Total Invested
$300
Avg Win Rate
60.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$105(-34.8%)
Whales
4
S
SnapElectionAvoiderProven🥇
Entry 19¢·1,218.8 shares
$-73INV $232 · WR 61.0%
S
Started-with-20-USDProven🥈
Entry 33¢·155.5 shares
$-25INV $51 · WR 58.5%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique🥉
Entry 20¢·49.8 shares
$-3INV $10 · WR 60.4%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 20¢·40 shares
$-3INV $8 · WR 66.8%

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 229ms