PoliticsResolved
Will the Green Party candidate win 30-35% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$5.5K
209 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 83 traders
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs10 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $49 is directional: YES $49·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
76.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+96.0%)
Whales
7
M
mrworldwide◆Proven🥇
Entry 52¢·2,699.8 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
+$1300
+$1300INV $1.4K · WR 76.2%
K
KimchiCapital◆Proven🥈
Entry 43¢·491.9 shares
Invested
$213
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$279
+$279INV $213 · WR 79.3%
M
MinistryOfPanic🥉
Entry 81¢·50 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $40 · WR 58.8%
1
0x11eaaf41...
Entry 98¢·3.6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 57.8%
B
big-bird1
Entry 98¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 68.6%
O
ogi250
Entry 28¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $2 · WR 58.9%
G
godknowswhat
Entry 24¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1 · WR 62.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$166
Avg Win Rate
79.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$166(-100.0%)
Whales
10
N
northdrawer🥇
Entry 50¢·80.9 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $40 · WR 87.7%
A
AmericaFirst1🥈
Entry 50¢·79.4 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $40 · WR 59.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 50¢·33.7 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $17 · WR 85.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 89.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·27.2 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $14 · WR 79.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 36¢·35.6 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $13 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 86.0%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 89.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·14 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 88.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 2¢·30 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 72.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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