Resolved
Will the Democrats win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$13.2K
328 trades
Smart Whales
41
of 142 traders
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs32 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $81 is directional: YES $80·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$3.8K
Avg Win Rate
76.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$369(+9.8%)
Whales
9
M
mrworldwide◆Proven🥇
Entry 92¢·3,925 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
+$333
+$333INV $3.6K · WR 77.1%
R
Rr55◆Proven🥈
Entry 86¢·100 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $86 · WR 72.4%
M
Maximus374◆Proven🥉
Entry 93¢·30 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $28 · WR 72.6%
S
SnapElectionAvoiderhedged
Entry 63¢·33.3 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$21
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $21 · WR 61.0%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 84¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $17 · WR 68.7%
I
i2dt◆Proven
Entry 82¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $16 · WR 72.8%
D
dearwinNFL
Entry 94¢·15 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $14 · WR 85.2%
B
big-bird1
Entry 99¢·3 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 69.1%
L
liyuan1977
Entry 96¢·2.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
94.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 94.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$329
Avg Win Rate
81.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$317(-96.3%)
Whales
32
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 12¢·564.8 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-69
$-69INV $69 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 9¢·520 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $49 · WR 71.9%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 14¢·314.2 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $44 · WR 79.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 94¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $19 · WR 86.1%
N
neverhackme
Entry 11¢·109 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $13 · WR 75.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 9¢·125 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 86.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 15¢·75 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 88.5%
D
donthackme
Entry 18¢·50 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 87.4%
K
klli27
Entry 11¢·79.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 81.0%
P
pollo07
Entry 11¢·77.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 82.0%
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